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Poker Breakdown: Did the World Champ Bamboozle Himself? (Now with 25% more solver analysis!)

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thepokerguys

Ryan Riess finds himself in a tough spot after playing a hand strangely against the tricky Roberto Romanello. The Poker Guys break it down. Click here to get How Can He Fold? Incredible Poker Hands Broken Down Decision By Decision: www.thepokerguys.net
91.912 SEREY
5 votes

Comments

In the old days people weren't shoving until they had about 10 big blinds so for that reason I'm okay with the regular raise preflop. I know in today's game they're looking to shove with 20 big blinds. I'd bet the Flop if I get checked shoved I'm in a pretty bad spot and I probably have to fold. If I get check called then all the money goes in on the turn. The way it played out it comes down to does he have it or not on the river.  If I get to river in this scenario I probably call.( I like to call) I don't think it's 99.8% to call on the river. If your gut tells you to fold I'm okay with that, sometimes you're wrong.

0.000 SEREY
0 vote

After Reiss checks flop, you have to take sets and two pairs out of his range. In contrast, you can start to include drawing hands that check for balance, the turn completes a straight and a flush, so when romanello check -calls turn you have to question what can he have? Would he have 2-pair that decided to check to reiss again who can easily have completed two types of draws now? And when reiss bets the turn then all of romanellos two pairs should highly consider flatting, raising makes no sense at all! folding is to tight as your opponent could be on draws, not just that we get value from semi bluffs and lose minimum if behind already then can re-evaluate on the river. But where the board pairs the question is now, does romanello have k10? K5? Or possibly KQ? And also do you expect your opponent to donk just trip kings when trip kings lose to so many combos? I think reiss put him on a full house that is now donking to get value thus preventing a check back? Question is, if you had two pair in romanello shoes on the turn would you lead after your opponent checks flop? Or would you check turn knowing your opponent could have easily checked a draw on the flop that has now got there on the turn? Solver accounts for value of hand, but does not account for exploit or trampy players who take unorthodox lines for deception

0.000 SEREY
0 vote

I don’t even think this is a good hand to pick in my opinion. There’s really no breakdown needed here at the top of the range you can still be some value it’s a snap call and some donkey who got lucky in one tournament made a bad fold.

0.000 SEREY
0 vote