You find yourself in a small SPR pot with a nut flush draw...should you check or bet? What about going all-in even if it's an overbet? This video breaks down a 1.7 SPR pot with a nut flush draw and calculates the #EV of jamming the flop for $800. Would you make this play yourself?
*THE NEW POSTFLOP WORKBOOK*
https://www.splitsuit.com/postflop-poker-workbook
Comments
This really depends on the villain being extremely shortstacked, or under ICM pressure. If the villain is not shortstacked I like to go all-in when I already have top pair + flush draw, i.e if I had say Kc Tc and the board comes Kd 9c 5c, against an aggressive opponent who is trying to raise you off a hand.
In this particular case, eyeballing it you can see that if you are putting $800 into a pot with a little more than $2000 in it (including your bet and his call), and when this happens you have about 40% equity when called. This means you are roughly breaking even the times when hands are shown down ($2000 x 40% = $800). So most of the profit in this case occurs when villain folds. The part I would have trouble with at the table is figuring out my equity is about 40%.
Thanks for doing the math. This video is great for micro stakes players, because many micro players are playing weird stack sizes and are doing weird pre-flop actions and it creates a lot of weird post flop SPR situations.
Another consideration I make in similar situations is future possibilities. There sometimes can be a massive pot in the future against certain tables when I let one go and wait for a better spot.