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Are You Calculating Poker Equity WRONG?



Joe asks: Let's say I am holding QJo in position heads up in a 3-bet pot and the flop comes 2h 5c 9s. Opponent bets 1/2 pot, giving me 3:1 odds. With 2 overcards, I have 24% equity to make top pair by the river. Here's where I'm confused: He's offering me the 3:1 odds to see the turn, but my equity is only close if I consider both the turn and the river. So if my odds of hitting on the turn are roughly 12%, do I have to fold to the bet on the flop? I go over a common misconception between pot odds and equity when you don't account for your opponents possible range and whether we should continue even if our odds don't justify it.

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