Hitting two pair is great... except for when it makes 4 to a straight! In this hand analysis, we go over a tricky spot. Would you value bet? Would you bluff? Or just look to get to showdown?
To join my 30-day Tournament Preparation Challenge for FREE: https://pages.pokercoaching.com/tournamentchallenge?ref=yt
Comments
I like this turn call. How many Kings can this guy have? He's probably 3-betting ak and kk for value preflop. 4 of the Queens and tens and one jack are accounted for so there are only 28 combos left of kq, kt, kj. And he should not be flatting ep raises with the offsuit versions of those anyway. He doesn't have any weaker king unless he's an idiot. So like six combos of suited Kings? And we gotta ask if he is checking back the flop with the kings too. If he flopped the nuts he would very likely be inclined to go for 3 streets, hoping to get stacks in against 2 pair or top set. I would suspect him of starting up a bluff with some underpair.
Lets say you call the turn and hit the T or Q on the river. How would you extract the most value for the FH vs the possible straight? The call on the turn isn't directly profitable vs better 2-pairs and straights so we need to be able to get additional money in on the river if we make our hand. Being OOP on a board that heavily favors the EP players, can we lead? If so, could we lead with an overbet?
Marginal hands are huge. As someone who used play BJ a bit. I found that plays around the margin were critical to winning or losing sessions. For example hitting 12's 13', staying on 15 or 16 vs. dealer 10. Surrendering when and if available, etc. Regardless, what do you mean when you say the SB calling range should be much stronger than BB calling range? Do you mean SB range should be wider?? or tighter?? than the BB range? Thank you for these great vids.